Article Type : Research Article
Authors : Warisha F and Swera H
Keywords : Co-operation; Interdependence; Shared resources; Indus water treaty; Mutual benefits; Climate change
The environmental challenges of both nations India and Pakistan specifically the concern of air and water resources, undergoes the complex interdependence between the geopolitical tensions and ecological systems. Although there existed the Indus Water Treaty since 1960 serving as the framework for sharing of water, population growth, contemporary challenges including climate change and the hydroelectric projects. Along with that shared air pollution problems, the seasonal smog caused due to the agricultural burn, putting serious threats to economics and health of both nations, still remained unresolved just because of mutual blame and political conflicts. The study is focusing on the potential of cooperation between both nations using the qualitative method of research
Historical insights
India
and Pakistan are the two neighboring states with the mutual intertwined
histories and geography, are usually historic territorial and political conflicts.
But there is a mutual vulnerability of collaboration underlying the
cross-border conflict I,e air pollution, water scarcity and the growing impacts
of climate. This mistrust and geopolitical dispute have overshadowed various
crucial opportunities of cooperation and welfare of the both states.
Highlighting them will offer a superb way of building better relations between
both states provides the new ground of friendship in these neighboring states. Two
Nations can be bound by the Indus River system and Indo-genetic plains, as
these are most important features stretching these two countries. If we look at
the most sustainable co-operations between both nations we can find that the
Indus Water Treaty is among most important examples of sustained collaboration
between India and Pakistan, although there it was continued political
hostility. But the present-day issues like population growth, water scarcity,
climate change and management projects are finding out the how much resilient
this treaty is.
Moreover
the seasonal smog coming out of agricultural burns in Punjab cause the serious
economic and health issue to both nations. Even the mutual nation of issues for
both neighbors has not brought cooperation just because of the political
conflicts. This paper is focusing on the shared ecological stressors creating
tensions in both states especially in areas of air pollution and water scarcity,
and find out the ways of cooperation and eradicate these tensions, the
qualitative method is used which included the case study, document analysis,
and the System literature review along with the effectiveness and quality of
existing frameworks and treaties like IWT, also highlighting the barriers in
co-operations between both states. Researcher has used the Qualitative approach
to give a deep insight into the possibilities of cooperation between Pakistan
and India, especially focusing on the factor of complex interdependence in
terms of shared resources like water, air and energy. This method is taken to
build a deep understanding of the social, political and ecological issue.
Researcher has used the combined methods of document analysis and systematic
literature review to ensure the deep examination of matter.
Researcher
has used the secondary data which is collected through the Sources including
International treaties, reports from different organizations (UNEP, World
Bank), Government Policies, academic papers and media articles. The focus of
researcher is on evaluating the functions of Indus Water Treaty in the proper
management of resources, analyzing the present policies in terms of air and
water management in both states. It involves the process of document selection
which is based on the credibility, relevance and alignment with research
objectives. All content is coded very systematically to find out gaps,
recurring themes and patterns. Books, Peer-reviewed journals, case studies in
fields of the international relations, south Asian research and environmental
studies. Research databases including Google scholars, institutional achieves,
Store are used to collect the scholarly articles. Studies emphasizing on the
cross-border water and the air problems in the South Asian region. Research on
the geopolitical areas of the ecological problems between Pakistan and India.
Research done in last 20 years to maintain the factor of relevance.
The
literature review is then gathered to make the categories in the thematic areas
I,e the climate change impacts, environmental diplomacy, air pollution
management. All the insights were than synthesized to make connections among
the ecological challenges and cooperation opportunities. All the data which was
collected is than analyzed through the qualitative content analysis, which
includes recognize the patterns and themes related to air and water resource
issues. Comparing and contrasting the outcomes with the international and
cross-border environmental governance examples to find out opportunities and
gaps in India- Pakistan cooperation. Contextualizing the outcomes in the
broader framework to know the hurdles and opportunities of the cooperation. By
gathering the Systematic literature review and document analysis keeping it in
the framework of qualitative approach, this research gives a solid foundation
to build the understanding of the ecological issues shared by India and
Pakistan. The outcomes says that no doubt there exists a geopolitical conflict
between both nations but still opportunities exist for the collaboration I,e
the climate change strategy, resource management, and joint research
initiatives. The research says that ecological interdependence is surrounded
with a lot of challenges but it has the potential of maintaining the regional
stability and building of the trust. It requires the improvement of previous
treaties and making of new policies on betterment of air quality and form the
cross-border mechanism of environmental governance to highlight the mutual
venerability. Research contributes to the knowledge of diplomacy of environment
in the regions which are prone to conflicts and the potential of shared
environmental tensions to act as a catalyst for cooperation and peace.
Although
they are creating the existing tension but they also provide a great opportunity
of collaboration. If we look at the history then the examples like the Canada US
Air Quality Agreements, Mekong River Commission demonstrates the way in which
mutual ecological issues can bring the stability and trust in the region. So if
we look at the case of Pakistan and India, Mutual struggle to manage the
natural resources can bring the crucial benefits. Which may include improved
energy security, improved quality of air, reduced stress of water and the better
socioeconomic development. This Research has the potential to find out the
intersection of the geopolitical dynamics and ecological challenges, aiming to
look to the dimension of co-operations in the management of Trans boundary air
and water resources. By looking at the previous frameworks I,e the IWT and
recognize the issues in cooperative governance and give the deep insights into
the way through which Pakistan and India can move forward and build up
sustainable coexistence.
The
trans-border collaboration between India and Pakistan over mutual resources,
especially water is very diverse problem deepened by the ecological issues and
the historical tensions. We cannot deny the fact that most renowned treaty
Indus water treaty which is signed in 1960, which asked to regulate the sharing
of water, better collaboration was not achieved due to environmental and
geopolitical dispute. IWT allows three rivers in the east (Sutlej, Ravi and
Beas) to be used by India and three in the west for Pakistan (Chenab, Indus,
and Jhelum). A Permanent Commission of Indus is established to make sure the
conflict resolution and dialogues. Despite a historical tension and many hard
times, the treaty has survived till now. The hydroelectric projects of India on
the river Chenab has also created the conflict regarding the reduction of water
toward Pakistan. These projects violating the guidelines of treaty is creating
the situation of mistrust among both nations. Erratic rainfalls, prolonged
droughts and melting glaciers have deepened the issue of water scarcity,
creating more challenges in the way of equal resource distribution. Limited
resources in both states are bearing the weight of heavy population, increasing
population is stressing the available water resources.
The
Indus Water Treaty forms a draft for the sharing of water, by pointing which
river is for Pakistan and which one will provide water to India. Even in the
presence of this treaty, contemporary conflict rose from the hydroelectric
projects of India which affected the availability of downstream water in
Pakistan [1]. Jayaram mentioned in his study that Climate change has created
the deep-water scarcity, which has affected the agricultural section in both
countries and increased the competition for the resources. Cross-border
ecological stressor, like the air pollution from the burn of agricultural
remains, it further worsen the relations [1]. Analysts suggested that the climate
change tackling strategies and attached basin management has the ability to
bring the cooperation, stressing the need for the stability of political
conditions and promote these types of initiatives. Trans-border collaboration
can also expand the tourism and trade, promoting the economic as well as social
development and eradicate the poverty ("Cross-Border Cooperation for
Bilateral Trade, Travel, and Tourism", 2022). Although the potential of
collaboration exists but the political and the historical context brings a
clear tension. We need to shift towards cooperative governance and trust is
crucial for making the management sustainable in terms of shared resources.
Severely Polluted Indo-Gangetic Plain can be seen which has impacts on both the
health and economy of country In Punjab, the agricultural burning can be seen
as crucial factor contributing to the air pollution. In these circumstances
both countries are blaming each other for this situation instead of looking for
a solution, it create more complications in the way of their co-operation. The
polluted air is causing the death of people, raising the mortality rate in both
Pakistan and India. The seasonal spikes of air pollution, coming due to the
burning of crops.
In
these circumstances there is a crucial need of collaboration between both
states to address the issue of air quality. The Geopolitical conflict between
both nations has largely affected the way of collaboration between both
countries in regards of air quality betterment. Although the air pollution has
effected the cities of both nations Delhi and Lahore but still the political
rivalries are only hurdles in the way of their collaboration. According to Abu
Hurrairah Abbas Stubble burning is carried out in both countries before the
arrival of winter every year which leads to the polluted air but no one of them
is interested in talking about it by sitting on the same cooperative ground,
Another reason is that there is no enforcement of proper mechanism and
alignment in the standards of emission. This kind of inconsistencies leads to
the problem of air pollution [2]. The Prime Minister of Pakistan Main Muhammad
Nawaz Sharif visited India in 2014 and attended the inaugural ceremony of
Narendra Modi, he was of the view that he want to pick up the threads of Lahore
Declaration, he was basically referring to the commitment made by both nation
in 1999 to collaborate and get closer to each other under the agreement of
SIMLA. At the same time, Pakistan has always been raising the issue of Kashmir
at United Nations and General Assembly to ask the global community to fulfil
its commitment concerning the United Nations Commission for the Pakistan and
India (UNCIP) Resolutions of the 1948 and 1949. For Islamic Republic of
Pakistan, Kashmir is the major problem at the international ground because it
has found by the global organization as a dispute and the nuclear flashpoint,
and a source of threat to whole region particularly and to the whole globe
generally. India is willing to improve the relations through trade, economy,
cultural and the public contact. Pakistan stayed firm on it stance regarding
Kashmir that it is the biggest controversy between India and Pakistan as
re-enforcing the idea to settle the issue of Kashmir. The Shimla agreement,
drawn in about 1972 mentions basic problems and causes behind the conflicts
which have worsen the relations between both states now needs to be addressed
and solved in very peaceful way. Despite of all these efforts we can observe
that issues between both countries still exists without any improvement.
Unfortunately the friendly relations between both countries failed to be
established before 1972, and after that. No way helped to get out of this
situation. In Nov, 2003, Pakistan and India agreed to the formal ceasefire on
the international border, Actual Position on Ground and the Line of control in
Jammu Kashmir. According to the former Director-General of the Military
Operations. V.R. Raghavn, it was seen for the first time in history that both
Pakistan and India were on same ground, it never happened before finally both
nation were agree on this stance keeping in view their past agreement which say
that they will use less weapons but were not able to practice it on reality
grounds. Although it is hard to predict that what will happen in the future but
only realistic and practicable solutions allow people to interact, build up the
strong bilateral social as well as economic relations. As both countries have
nuclear power which always creates a situation of threat for at least south
Asia if not whole world. This is crucial need to build up the confidence and
ensure strategic settlement between both nations keeping in view their nuclear
weapons and the capacities of their missiles [3].
Smog
Diplomacy is defined as “The Organization Leading the Charge to Address Pakistan's
Air Pollution Crisis”. We’ll all these challenges exist but still smog
diplomacy can be seen to get over the political and social issues and put the
collaborative efforts to make the quality of air less hazardous and work on
sustainable development projects and develop the good will among both states.
Ecological
resources needs to have the co-operative management over the national border.
Along with that the Indus water treaty works like a framework for contemporary
peace and dispute resolution. Collaborated efforts can make the quality of air
and water much better [4]. The Water Treaty which was signed in 1960 is a great
source of water collaboration between Pakistan and India. The Treaty allows the
usage of river Indus and all its tributes among the two nations. Even there is
an ongoing tension but this treaty survived for years. But the contemporary
infrastructure projects and impacts of climate change have regional impacts.
The conflict of territories over Kashmir also pose a threat to violate the
treaty. Moreover, population growth has increased the water consumption which
is again a challenge for collaboration.
Energy
collaboration is also a critical ground, especially concerned with Indus water
basin. Pakistan has huge hydel power, there have always been an ongoing
discussion about sharing it with the India. World Bank also directed Pakistan
to give the surplus power with India and other neighbors. It would be a great
example of friendly cooperation in terms of mutual ecological challenges [5].
Potential
for shared projects and energy trade. Pakistan and India are going through a
severe shortage of energy and their speedy growing demand for electricity at
domestic level has not met with available supply. Both states Pakistan and
India are developing and heavily depends on the natural resources and fuels
e.g. natural gas, coal and oil for their energy demands. Although there are
various policy reforms and restructuring policies in the power sector but
increasing consumption of energy and the decreasing reserves of natural gas and
oil are still major the causes behind declining energy reserves. The analysis
of the demand projections and power generation in Pakistan and India brings the
fact that there is a possibility of energy collaboration and trade of power
between both these countries. This trade and mutual sharing across the border
is possible through the bilateral mode, wheeling mode or the pool-based mode.
Along with that we can see some newer initiative that can be taken in order to
build up the regional and bilateral energy collaborations [5].
The
increasing demands of energy in Pakistan, Iran and India the gas pipeline is expected
to have special place. The countries with low energy I,e china, Pakistan and
India struggling to acquire the pipeline for gas in various parts of the globe.
It has led them to two important developments: They are struggling to compete
each other, along with that they can also confront US and other western
countries by taking the control of all energy bases. Here, Pakistan is
struggling to get maximum leverages. A country which was not willing to
establish the trade relations with India , is now craving to earn the benefit
of billions of dollars by annual royalties and transit fees through a gas
pipeline running from the south Paris of Iran to India. Pakistan is agree to
provide the subsidy on gas and become a strong for-ex earner [6]. Both these states
have mutual ecological issues I,e drought, flood , climate change and smog.
Collaboration in solving all these problems can help them to improve the
bilateral relations. For example: The combine struggle in climate adaptation
strategy and the disaster management can bring benefits. The cross border
ecological issues I,e hydroelectric projects and agricultural burning have
created tension but also come up the way of collaboration.
Moreover
Pakistan and India are the man-made as well as natural disasters. Both states
are going through situation where they have the risk of many disasters which
includes terrorism, flood, drought and earthquake, at the same time they have
to manage with their limited resources [7].
In
this section researcher has drawn the crucial findings which will be very
helpful in future of research, making the categories of air quality management,
water cooperation and trans-border coo-operation opportunities.
The
Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) is serving as a framework and basic foundation for
the sharing of water resources among India and Pakistan. But modern challenges
have brought hurdles in its effectiveness. This treaty is unable to deal with
the contemporary problems including environmental stability and the climate
adaption. Unavailability of information and data led to the mistrust and
efficient management of water Cross-border air pollution is the major
contemporary issue, especially in Indo- Gangetic Plain, Region in which the
cities like Delhi and Lahore continuously go through the low quality and
poisonous air. Burning is taken as a low cost way of making the fields clear in
Punjab of both countries which is the major source of smog and air pollution. The
growing industrial and urban growth in crucial in spreading the air pollution
of both states, Both India and Pakistan blame each other and held each other
responsible for the issue, which create hurdles in their way of collaboration. The
poisonous air is causing crucial health issues, resulting in high mortality
rate caused by the cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. Economic
expenditure includes the health-care cost, lost productivity and the reduced
agriculture productivity because of low air quality. This issue needs to be
addressed.
The
Historical and Geopolitical disputes prevent both countries to cooperate and
find a way out of air pollution. The enforcement mechanism and different
emission standards leads to misalignment in the creation of policy opportunities
for co-operation includes implementing the aligned policies and the emission
standards of regions can help in combating the air pollution. Smog diplomacy is
providing a framework for the negotiation, focuses on the mutual ecological issue
rather than the historical, political conflicts. Despite the political
conflicts dominate the diplomatic relationship, number of opportunities for
cooperation exist in the management of mutual ecological resources. Pakistan holds
high potential hydro power, if we share it with India then it will reduce the
cost of energy for both nations. World Bank has also directed Pakistan to share
these energy resources. Improving the trans-border Eco-tourism and trade can
improve economic and social conditions while ensuring the ecological stability
Combine efforts are required for the preservation of natural and cultural
heritage sites. Integrated management can be helpful in reducing conflicts and
improving the efficiency of water use. Moreover the integrated practices for
the climate resilience can be helpful, it can benefit both nations.
The
ecological issues faced by India and Pakistan, which includes the air pollution
and water scarcity provides both opportunities and obstacles for cooperation.
Although IWT will be an important achievement. The environmental challenges
faced by Pakistan and India, including water scarcity and air pollution, offer
both obstacles and opportunities for collaboration. While the IWT remains a significant
achievement, its limitations highlight the need for revisions to address
contemporary challenges. Similarly, air quality management requires innovative,
cooperative approaches to mitigate public health crises. Building trust between
the two nations is paramount. Initiatives like joint research, integrated basin
management, and "smog diplomacy" can serve as starting points.
Addressing shared environmental issues not only has the potential to improve
health and economic outcomes but also to foster long-term regional stability.
The success of such efforts depends on transcending political rivalries and
adopting a shared vision for sustainable development.