Article Type : Research Article
Authors : Rukayat Olaide A, Seraj M, Turuc F and Ozdeser H
Keywords : Carbon emission; Gender; Renewable energy; Education expenditure
The study explores gender dynamics,
renewable energy integration, education expenditure, and CO2 emissions in BRICS
economies from 1998 to 2020. Employing Fisher Panel Co-integration, it uncovers
interrelationships and causal links, impacting sustainable development. It
identifies significant relationships through unit root tests, cross-sectional
dependence assessments, and ARDL analyses. Renewable energy is vital to
reducing emissions, and gender-responsive policies empower women in
environmental efforts. Education spending positively correlates with reduced
carbon emissions, fostering informed choices and sustainable practices.
Cross-BRICS collaboration potential is highlighted, offering recommendations
for renewable energy policies, gender-inclusive climate strategies, education
enhancement, and regional cooperation. The study enriches academia and
policymaking, guiding BRICS economies toward a sustainable, resilient, and
equitable future.
The convergence of nations is becoming apparent as
they collaborate to develop sustainable industrial methods and establish
sustainable living situations. Combating climate change has become one of the
critical policy priorities in the developed and developing countries and one of
the major goals among the 17 SDGs [1,2]. The statement mentioned above is
supported by the existing academic research on the estimated amounts of carbon
emissions for the year 2020 [3]. The Global Carbon Project reported its
predictions during the 24th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations
Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP24) that took place in Katowice,
Poland on December. It is necessary to note that in the case with developing
economy, including for example India and China and developed countries, for
example United States emissions are expected to be 2. 5% due to energy loss as
the firm uses more energy. It is, therefore, absolutely necessary for
governments begin the review of policy strategies in their bid to minimize the
reliance on fossil-based energy. Recall the opinion of Glen Peters of the
International Center for Climate Research in Oslo; he stated that there is a
lack of focus on the policies that must be adopted for the abolition of fossil
energy. This is a good reason to reconsider the approaches of the rich
countries to the energy policies through the prism of climate change. In the
second half of the twentieth century, there emerged social sensitivity to
preserve the quality of the environment. This aspect has been captured in many
global partnerships including the Millennium Development Goals as well as the
Sustainable Development Goals. Also, certain advancements in the creation of
impact assessment laws and organization of state ecological organizations can
be identified [4,5]. Based on the findings of Constant and Davin (2018) and
Sarti and John (2019), these institutions have been attributed to the
accomplishment of playing a key role in increasing awareness on environmental
degradation. Akerlof submits that three contingent factors can increase
environmental awareness’s importance in responding to environmental degradation
issues. Initially, it is necessary to establish a policy that facilitates the
cultivation of behavioural modifications among individuals. Moreover,
decision-making organizations must join majority rule inclusion forms to set up
compelling arrangements. Eventually, it is essential to prioritize emphasizing
instructive and value-based changes at the community level.
Besides, the later rise of corporate social responsibility
increased firms' acknowledgment of their commitment to contribute to
maintainable improvement [6]. This, in turn, has driven the expanded execution
of maintainable hones, driven by the critical weight applied by different
partners inside the company. Agreeing with Fauver the endeavors attempted by
organizations to upgrade natural conditions have improved their reputation and
general execution. However, it is essential to note that a disparity exists
among corporations in their contribution towards sustainable development,
specifically in reducing CO2 emissions. Existing scholarly research
has endeavored to elucidate the determinants that lead to corporations'
heightened levels of environmental consciousness. For example, the literature
review of prior studies has revealed information that the family managed firms
are more committed to environmental sustainability. This increased commitment
can be explained by their interest in protecting their socio emotional wealth
as stated by Berrone et al. Earlier theoretical evidence has shown that the
characteristics of the board of directors or ownership structure of a company
determine the extent of the company’s engagement in environmental conservation
initiatives [7]. Scholars have also noted the significance of the body
packaging of a company’s board of directors in the decisions-making process
pointing to the fact that it also determines the dominant direction of the
company [8,9]. In the past years, more attention has been paid to the
participation of women in occupying corporate boards as presented by Hossain
[8]. Previous analyses also have found a positive relationship between board of
directors’ female directors and improved environmental performance among firms
[6]. It is postulated that women are more receptive to environmental issues and
display more prudency, therefore, possess better recognition of climate change
threats. In line with Chodorow’s gender socialization theory, given in 1978, it
can be hypothesized that women are likely to care more than men for the
negative effects that business may bring about to the environment. Even more
important is to focus on the gender diversity of the board of directors which
remains one of the most debatable issues [10]. As such, inherent limitations of
the economic development model identified in the context of the BRICS countries
also entail higher pollution and energy consumption. This is well illustrated
by large capital outlay in conventional sources of energy and exploitative
extraction of minerals. The approach in question has led to a direct impact
consisting in the increase in carbon emissions and thus stabilizing of the
environment pollution level which hampers the economic development. Based on
the data presented in the "BP Statistical Yearbook of World Energy
(2020)," it can be observed that within the group of BRICS nations, China
presently exhibits the most outstanding levels of carbon emissions globally. In
2020, China's total carbon emissions constituted 28.8% of global emissions,
positioning it as the most significant contributor.
On the other hand, India contributed to 7.3% of
worldwide outflows, positioning it as the third most prominent emitter
worldwide. The carbon outflows of three nations; Russia, Brazil and South
Africa summatively amount to 4. 5%, 1. 3%, and 1. FYR Macedonia as well as
Greece, 4 % and 17,32% of the global emissions, respectively. The summary of
the total amount of carbon emissions from the BRICS countries was reached at 43
within the year 2020. Three percent of the normally global carbon emissions.
The scientific community has appreciated and estimated carbon emissions as one
of the manifestations of the deterioration of the environment and as one of the
components determining climate change. This paper will explicate the correlation
between the various social and economic determinants that affect the period of
carbon emissions in an emerging economy like china that defines the country’s
emphasis on economic growth. The fact that economic growth is positively
correlated with worsening of the environment strongly depends on spatial
accessibility. This theory builds on EKC which holds that there is prospect of
lowering carbon emissions as the country’s economy emerges. It can be
accomplished through financing renewable energy sources and solutions,
construction and advancement of clean energy, and championing the production
processes that release nearly negligible emissions into the environment [11].
Moreover, the countries in the first stage of EKC also show the finding that
health of the relation of economic development with environmental degradation
is also present as the countries show the dependency on the consumption of the
fossil fuels when testing for this hypothesis at the initial stage [12].
Environmental sustainability in the development is chiefly determined by the
incorporation and application of the renewable energy sources that possess the
air of resource from natural means and are known to emote very low carbon
footprint. Ahmad believe that sources of renewable energy are more sustainable
that sources of non-renewable energy consisting of the fossil resources. They
reduce the effects of the major outcomes on the developmental process of the
economies of the respective nations as well as reducing the instances of destructing
the environment. International trendvolves towards the diversification of green
technologies for power production with a view of reducing the use of fossil
fuel derived from natural resources in the future. The overall support for
renewable energy for the generation of energy and emission of greenhouse gases
is mainly explained by the following aspects: Here is a list of some of the
energy technology; solar technology, wind technology, and hydro technology.
Currently, the Chinese have stood as some of the most environmentally
sustainable people globally with their investment in the environment from the
year 2009 to 2019 to be about $758 billion. The mentioned investments are to
help in the process of developing the green economy and encourage the initiative
for green economy.
Furthermore, investing in education is essential for
promoting economic development. Countries that invest in educational resources
improve their human capital, leading to increased productivity, skills, and
abilities within their workforce. As Raihan mentioned, the results in question
have the potential to boost creativity, improve technical skills, and increase
economic productivity [13]. Countries are expected to transition to a
biologically sustainable and low-carbon financial system in line with the goals
outlined by COP 27. Playing a major part in promoting this change is
contributing to instruction. Investing in educational initiatives that focus on
developing skills and knowledge in long-term sustainability, energy efficiency,
climate change research, and green technology helps governments create a
skilled workforce able to lead the shift to a more mindful and sustainable
economy [14,15]. China has implemented many initiatives to reduce carbon
emissions, including campaigns promoting carbon-free technologies.
Additionally, the government has incentivized industries and businesses to
develop green buildings and vehicles with reduced carbon emissions. These
programs can promote environmental sustainability and facilitate long-term
advancements in greener energy. (Figure 1) illustrates the patterns observed in
government spending, mineral rents, and renewable energy use for the period
spanning from 1988 to 2021. According to the World Bank (2022), the source is
cited. This paper examines gender and its interactions with renewable energy
consumption and educational expenditures on CO2 emissions in the
five BRICS countries: Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa in a
period of 22 years (1998–2020). Data used in the study is from the World Bank
while the dependent variable for the research is CO2 emissions, and
the independent variables are; gender representation, renewable energy
consumption, and education expenditure.
All variables are expressed in logarithmic form to
simplify the analysis, and the regression model used is:
lnCO2t=?0+?1lnGENt+?2lnRENt+?3lnEDUt+?t
The first step performed in this study is to test for
unit root to determine stationarity in the data before proceeding to the
cross-sectional dependence (CD) test and the slope homogeneity (SH) test. These
tests are very important so as to control for problems of endogeniety inherent
in the panel data analysis, due to common factors or variables that affect the
variables of distinct countries. The analysis of both long-run and short-run
dynamics is accomplished with the use of the Autoregressive Distributed Lag
(ARDL) model after performing the Breitung and Fisher panel tests for
stationarity and co-integration. The coefficients of the long term as shown by
the ARDL model are highly significant as follows: The gender coefficient has a
negative and significant effect on CO2 emissions, the renewable
energy consumption also has a negative effect on CO2 emissions and
education expenditure has mixed after effect. Through the application of the
Dumitrescu & Hurlin Causality Test, the causal effects between the
interrelated variables is tested. These findings provide empirical evidence
towards the existence of a two-way causality between carbon emission and
renewable energy consumption while confirming the unidirectional causality
between education expenditure and CO2 emission. Gender
representation has a non-significant positive correlation with CO2
emission. The contribution of this article is to provide a comprehensive
investigation of gender, renewable energy, and education expenditure on carbon
emissions, utilizing experimental proof from the cases considered by the
nations. By analyzing the different measurements of gender flow, renewable
energy adoption, and their impact on carbon emanation, together with the effect
of education expenditure, this article sheds light on the complex and
interrelated variables that shape natural results and identifies potential
approaches to mediation that can address them. The overall structure of this
work is depicted within the graph that can be found underneath. Within the
taking after, we'll review the relevant writing and examine possible cures. The
following part will be titled "Methodology and Data," it will provide
in-depth descriptions of our approach and the data we utilized. The discussion
and the conclusion comprise the two sections that come toward the end of the
paper.
Literature Review
The increasing global focus on environmental sustainability and climate change has highlighted the importance of gender, education spending, and renewable energy in reducing CO2 emissions, particularly in the emerging economies of BRICS nations. This area presents a literature review of the nature of these relations and an effect of these component parts on the CO2 emission in the system of the BRICS countries. Several research papers have documented that the economic growth in the BRICS nations, China inclusive, has been high and this has brought forth serious ecological issues [16]. Standard of living which relates to GDP has assumed the central stage in determining the level of development and this incremental growth has seen the consumption of energy go up, pollution and emissions follow the same trend. The given facts, thus, reveal that China being the leading source of greenhouse gases and atmospheric pollutants in the world, is a direct result of such advancements. Environmental degradation is an extremely dangerous factor to biosphere as characterized by prolonged exercises of FDPs in different geographical regions that result to bleak climatic circumstances. According to Silva et al., 2020, the increment and deforestation observed for the agricultural division in Brazil relate immensely with the production of greenhouse gas emissions. On the other hand, the direct consumption of fossil energy in transports and industries has put Brazil among the most prominent emitters of Carbon dioxide (CO2) in the Region. On the contrary, India has some issues in the integration of economic growth and environmental improvement which although it has been noted that attempts have been made for achieving parity in the two. Because of the absolute dependancy on coal as a fundamental power creation commodity, the nation hugely inhibits world warming and naturally decreases CO2 naturally. Discriminating on the estimative consumption of energy sources, Russia with infinite quantities of raw materials appears to have relied mainly on fossil fuels to produce the power that affected critical emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gases Shmakova. These industrial endeavors of the country have fated their part in increasing the level of pollution and emits injurious gases.
Nevertheless, the nation has a relatively moderate approach with regard to the global emissions and the global emissions responsibility; however, the pressure to reduce the spewing of carbon emissions is present. This has been so especially because the country has all along depended on coal as the major source of energy in the production of electricity hence enhancing the emission of carbon dioxide. Another mixed method study that was conducted Jebli sought to examine the relationships between CO2 emission and international trade, economic development, different types of energy consumption. Moreover, the findings of this research study could also provide a direction of underlining EKC theory in addition to the realities of the international trade and energy substitutes and renewable resources as the major factors and strategies against climate change. In this context, the developed nations are more inclined to introduce cleaner technologies into the trade hence a steady variation in the level of carbon emissions in the long run. The study confirmed for a long time the two analysed variables do affect each other in a circular manner. In this paper, authors analyzed and singled out the factors influencing carbon emission independently. According to the specified authors who applied the quantitative STIRPAT model, the study aim was to assess the population, affluence and technological trends of the OECD countries in the period 1980/2011. Analyzing the data, it is possible to claim that there is the correlation between the non-renewable energy and carbon emission – it is sebeliable. On the other hand, a different pattern of change is detected regarding the renewable energy and the total carbon energy consumption rates. The study also contributes to supporting the EKC theory because of providing the relation between the levels of urbanization on the environment. The given policy directive aims at having more cities developed while at the same time wanting to use renewable energy to mitigate the climate change effects. In the study conducted by Zhu and colleagues regarding FDI, energy consumption, and Economic expansion’s effect on Carbon Emission the authors focused on ASEAN-5 countries. The empirical methodology adopted was the panel quantile regression in which it was determined that; FDI plays a crucial role in the reduction of carbon emission levels. Moreover, literature reveals that high emitting countries pass through a phase where environmental efficiency deteriorates due to economic development. By conducting the analysis, it was possible to identify the fact that the influence of several independent variables on emissions differs depending on the quantiles. Nonetheless, synchronously, other scholars engage in an analysis with FDI inflows as to assume no correlation in G20 nations with the carbon emissions, as it is interpreted by Lee. Thus, the relationship was identified between 1971 and 2009 that lower carbon emissions were associated with economic growth. The classification of G20 countries as developed may not be useful in encouraging the use of CTCs through more FDI in renewable energy provisions. Pao and Tsai’s study on FDI has indicated that there is a direct relationship between FDI and carbon emissions in BRIC countries [17]. This discovery means that the emerging economies should take a lot of precaution while accepting the FDI since they come with the strings attached or put in place the structures safeguarding the environment for such transactions. Several prior empirical investigations in literature have explored multiple directions in single-country research and international multiple countries to some extent [18].
A large amount of literature has focused on studying the environmental challenges common to BRICS countries. Therefore, there is a research demarcation on the effects of gender on environmental perception and behaviour within these countries. The study by Qamar, Zaman, and colleagues is useful in shedding light on possible relations between six gender-specific attributes and CO2 emissions in the mentioned nations above. This study is useful in elucidating the gender-related differences and possible ways of working on the possibilities of incorporating gender into environmental policies. However, it is equally important to note that the previously mentioned changes in the form of spending also raised academics’ curiosity toward whether education expenditure influence sustainable development indicators especially, emissions. Thus, there is a strong argument for continuing the analysis of the BRICS countries’ investment in education to consider the consequences of the obtained results on the environmental awareness and further implementation of sustainable practices to predict the changes in CO2 emissions. Further, there is a need to use sustainable energy for efficient reduction of global CO2 emissions. But more empirical examination is required to find out nature and contribution of this change in the context of BRICS countries’ emission reductions. Understanding the link between use of RE and emissions cut in the BRICS environment is crucial in developing relevant polices on RE. In the study conducted by Rasool, it was observed that there was growth in economic stream of China resulting in the emergence of world’s second largest economy by 2010 [19]. However, the modern model of development, which implies the availability of sufficient resources, higher energy consumption, pollution growth, and emissions, has made China the world’s leader in the emissions of greenhouse gases and atmospheric pollutants, causing several serious environmental issues. For instance, current fluctuate hazy weather is extremely observed in eastern and northeastern China. This means that the level of pollution in China is on the brink in the ecosystem realm according to Peng. It is useful to note that China has the largest emission source resulting from the generation of energy via the combustion of coal and mining industries. Currently, this nation is a principal consumer and producer of coal in the world, and the latter constantly attempts to limit the import and consumption of this fuel through competent energy policies. According to the study conducted by Liu et al., CO2 emission was evaluated and it was observed that China contributed to nearly one third of global emission in 2014 and the total CO2 emission in China seemed a very dominating figure of 12 gigatons. While production activities within these sectors produce higher emissions, consumption activities display a more manageable GHG footprint. The past ten years have witnessed China's energy sector rise as the primary generator of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Let us highlight that China has lower per capita CO2 emissions than developed and developing nations. As the OECD (2009) states, China's per capita CO2 emissions in 2007 were lower than those of the United States (19.4 tons), Russia (11.8 tons), and European countries (8.6 tons). The primary sectors in China's economy that lead to CO2 emissions are visualized.
Amid the backdrop of international environmental diplomacy and domestic environmental protection requirements, China's government has acknowledged its environmental obligations by implementing a national policy to decrease greenhouse gas emissions in the environment. China aims to achieve CO2 emission neutrality by 2060 while actively supporting the Paris Climate Agreement. China has decided to implement policies promoting technological and institutional innovation. These approaches point to upgrading the mechanical blend, setting up a low-carbon vitality framework, making strides in low-carbon transportation, and cultivating the advancement of green buildings. According to Tambo, China has set a target to realize its most significant carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions by almost 2030. A proposition recommends that China extraordinarily diminish its carbon dioxide outflows per net household item (GDP) unit by 60–65% from 2005. Moreover, the suggestion involves increasing the percentage of non-fuel sources in primary energy usage by 20%, along with a goal to boost forest stock by around 4.5 billion cubic meters. As stated by Gao, the Chinese government has created strategies to promote global cooperation in different fields, such as clean energy, climate-resilient agriculture, disaster preparedness and reduction, low-carbon and intelligent cities, and environmental conservation. The need for further research on how gender, education spending, and renewable energy affect carbon dioxide emissions in BRICS countries is highlighted in the literature analysis. By thoroughly understanding how the current weaknesses are connected, this research aims to make a valuable contribution towards improving environmentally sustainable and inclusive policy frameworks.
Renewable energy consumption and CO2 emission
Climate change, and the correlated matter of global warming, is a concern that the global community is collectively combating today [20]. Regarding the quality of the environment, expansion of using renewable sources of energy (REC) is needed. Other previous research works have concentrated on establishing the relationship between renewable energy and environmental conservation alongside the improvement of economic growth. However, according to Balsalobre-Lorente and Shao regarding the index to compare the improvement of environmental conditions in the European Union, the research highlighted the role of the variables like REC and improvement of energy development suggest towards the improvement of environmental conditions. Some studied work that supports such co-relation about the consumption of renewable energy, carbon dioxide emission and sustainable development are the work of Khan. The analysis of the two tests - AMG and CCEMG show that innovation in the environment and another concept known as Renewable Energy Certificates (REC) enhance the change in the environmental quality. READ ALSO: The research was conducted by Bhattacharya P., Bassett B., Tennyson R. M., Brown M. J. with the participation of 85 countries and GMM and OLS analysis. In their work they observe that the indicated volumes of utilisation of renewable energy imply negative relation with both CO2 emissions and GDP. In order to analyze the connection between REC and environmental quality more empirical studies have also been carried out for china, MENA region, N-11 countries, EU and SA have been made by Balsalobre-Lorente, Bao and Xu, Charfeddine, Rahman & Velay [21,22]. There are countless papers on the literature that investigate the relationship between RE and CO2 emissions with regard to different countries because of the critical role of RE toward environmental conservation. That is why various methods like ARDL test, quantile-on-quantile estimator, machine learning algorithms, T-tests, spatial econometric analysis as demonstrated by Shanazi and Shabani have been applied in these studies. Thus, with the existing research literature focusing on the impact of renewable energy, there are several categorisations that are used within the current state of empirical analysis. Scientist’s present reactionary information in the first part to substantiate that there is a corresponding correlation between higher employment of renewable energy and lower production of CO2 emissions.
A study conducted by Apergis & Payne analyzed the correlation of RE and CO2 emissions of Central American countries in the year in which ranging from 1980 to 2010 [23]. The quantitative data collected was analyzed by the authors with the help of non-linear>cointegration tests and Granger causality tests specific to each regime. The conclusion that the authors of the research came up with was a 1% increase in carbon dioxide emissions coupled with a 0. From the SWOT analysis we see the organization benefiting from this aspect where it indicated that they aimed at increasing the usage of renewable energy by 22%. In turn, Bilgili discussed again the EKC theories, with regards to RE in over 17 OECD countries for 1977 to 2010. The analysts employed the methods such as the energetic ordinary least squares (OLS) and the fully adjusted OLS estimators on the data. The study proves that there is an inverse curved relationship between net HH income or GDP and CO2 emissions and RE is also found to be having negative effect on environmental depletion. Dogan and Seker (22) analyzed the effect of NRE and RE on CO2 emission of the European Union in their study. The study that was conducted adopted the conventional least squares (OLS) regression method on a board where the authors established the link between renewable energy (RE) and non-renewable energy (NRE) consumers with carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. From the results it emerges that adopting RE results in reduction of CO2 emission while adopting of NRE leads to an increase in carbon emission. Further, while testing causality, the analysis comes up with the causal relationships between the variables such as renewable energy (RE) and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in which RE causes CO2 emissions and at the same time CO2 emissions cause RE as well. Another research undertaken by Leito and Lorente (23) correlated EG, RE, tourism, trade and CO2 emissions in the 28 countries of the European Union.
The research employed some models in the analysis namely; panel dynamic OLS, fully modified OLS, and GMM estimators. There is also the notion that, RE, tourism and international trade decreases the emission of carbon dioxide (CO2). Thus, the stimulation of globalization around the globe and the fast adoption of the renewable power source in the territory of the European Union can mitigate consequences of the climate change. Jebli and Youssef (24) on the case of five North African countries on how RE impacts the agricultural sector and emissions of CO2 from the year 1980 to 2011. The long-term forecasts depict a positive correlation between RE to CO2 and negative correlation between agricultural activities to CO2. In the study by Bhattacharya, the impact of institutions and renewable energy on CO2 and EG in 85 countries for 1991–2012 was investigated. The analyses using GMM as well as fully modified OLS indicate that the integration of renewable energy significantly improves the level of economic growth and leads to the reduction of CO2 emissions. What a country can do to reduce its level of CO2 emissions will to a great extent depend on quality of political institutions. Zoundi conducted a study to investigate the link between RE and CO2 emissions with the case of 25 African countries for period 1980-2012. The studies used the panel cointegration method and dynamic OLS as well as fully modified OLS estimators. The analysis reveals that renewable energy turned out to be a negative factor influencing carbon dioxide emissions in both the short-term and the long-term periods. The author, thus, draws the reader’s attention to the fact that RE is possible, or valid, as a form of energy in contrast to the traditional fossil fuel energy conditioning by indicating that its likelihood is conceivable under a certain advancement. Inglesi-Lotz and Dogan conducted panel co-integration tests and grouped-mean dynamic OLS estimations to demonstrate the impact of RE and NRE consumptions for CO2 emissions in the electricity generating countries of the Big 10 SSA region in the period of 1980 to 2011. Higher consumption of non-renewal energy sources is also considered improper because it was discovered that as consumption speeds up so does the level of pollution. In this case, the causes differ significantly; renewable energy sources have a deterrent impact. Furthermore, in the course of the investigation, the inquiry unveils unidirectional causality between NRE and emissions of CO2. In the comprehensive study, Baloch pursued to assess the influences of RE, CR, and EG on the CO2 emissions in the BRICS countries throughout the period 1990 and 2015. In the Radmehr paper, the APMG estimator is used to analyze how RE influenced CO2 emissions in the BRICS nations, except for South Africa where another relationship is presented. Their research uses a concurrent spatial modelling strategy to examine the synthesis between renewable energy, economic growth and CO2 emission, for the EU countries’ period of 1995 to 2014. Their works depict a direct positive relationship between RE and CO2 flares as well as the extent of their correlation. Also, the calls for examination illustrate a mutual relationship between EG and RE.
Data Sources
The data for this research is obtained from the World
Bank, this is because this organization is credible, efficient and most
importantly provides a wide range of development data. The decision to use data
from the World Bank as a source is associated with its coverage area, accuracy,
and relevancy, which are critical for this research. The specific variables
extracted from the World Bank database are as follows: The specific predictors
derived from the World Bank data set include:
CO2
Emissions (lnCO2): This demonstrates
the number of carbon emissions in metric tons of each of the populations.
Gender
(InGEN): It is the trend to the number of women
enjoying the Queen’s bench and the House of Lords in the parliamentary system
of the various countries.
Renewable
Energy (InREN): This shows the proportion of TEC,
from renewable resources by percentage based on which ‘energy intensity’
emphasized by the international community was advocated for.
LNEDP denotes the Log of Modified Net Domestic Product
through Education Expenditure, computed in present prices in US dollars.
Sample selection
The study concerns only the five so called BRICS
countries due to the nations’ roles in the global economy and their various
level of development These five countries happen to some of world’s largest
emitters of its CO2 and they have different characteristics
concerning gender proportions, as well as renewable energy usage, and
expenditures for education, making it complicated to analyze the connection
between these Variables.
The
sample selection of the BRICS nations is justified by the following factors:
Hence, the selection of sample of the BRICS nations has the following
justifications:
Economic
Significance: The countries in the BRICS are some
of the emergent economy countries in the world that contains large part of the
global population, economic activities and CO2 emissions.
Diversity
in Policies: The selected countries have
different policies on gender depiction, use of renewable sources of energy and
education making them good samples for the outline of the various approaches
and their effects on CO2 emissions.
Data
Availability: The World Bank offers repetitive and
synthesized information regarding these nations, thus making the information
complete and dependable, and furthermore, permitting comparing the information
over the picked period (Table 1).
Whenever evaluating the success of any project, the
time span needs to be justified, which brings the analysis to the time span
between the years 1998 and 2020.
The chosen time span of 1998–2020, covering 22 years,
is justified based on the following considerations: The chosen time span of
1998–2020, covering 22 years, is justified based on the following considerations:
Data
Availability: International indicators are
presented by the World Bank, which contains detailed and accurate data for the
selected variables beginning with 1998, which makes it possible to conduct
profound analysis by time.
Policy
Changes: This era includes major shifts in climate
change and gender policies together with the BRICS international agreements on
climate change, renewable energy, and education. Examining data within this
time frame enables the identification of changes’ impact on CO2
emissions.
Trends
Analysis: Apparently, 22 years is a long enough
time to identify the existent tendencies and fluctuations, as well as long-term
impacts of the independent variables on the level of CO2 emissions.
It comprises the viewing of both short-term oscillations and long-time
tendencies.
Global
Context: The time span addresses numerous global
economic occurrences, including the economic crisis of 2008 and its
consequences in the further economic and ecological legislations of the BRICS countries.
This structured approach ensures that the research is
grounded in reliable data, covers a significant period for trend analysis, and
focuses on relevant and impactful variables for the BRICS countries (Table 2).
Methodologies
The study uses a logarithmic form for all variables.
The purpose of using log form is to avoid the complexity of estimated results;
after taking the natural log of the variables, the regression form is as below
in equation (1).
lnCO2t = ?0 + ?1lnGENt + ?2lnRENt
+ ?3lnEDUt
This section outlines the detailed steps of the
statistical models and tests used in this study, focusing on the Autoregressive
Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The ARDL model is chosen due to its flexibility
in handling variables that are integrated of different orders (i.e., I(0) and
I(1)), making it suitable for our data set.
Unit Root Tests
The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test is a common
statistical test used to determine whether a time series variable is
non-stationary and possesses a unit root. Here are the detailed steps for
performing the ADF test:
1. Formulating
the Hypotheses
· Null Hypothesis (H0): The
series has a unit root (i.e., it is non-stationary).
· Alternative Hypothesis
(H1): The series does not have a unit root (i.e., it is stationary).
2. Choosing
the ADF Test Model
The ADF test can be conducted using three different
models, depending on the nature of the time series data:
Model without a constant (no drift) and no trend:
Model with a constant (with drift) but no trend:
Model with a constant (with drift) and a linear time
trend:
Where:
·
? denotes the first
difference operator.
·
yt is the time
series variable.
·
? is the constant term.
·
?t is the time trend.
·
? is the coefficient on
the lagged level of the series, which tests for a unit root.
·
?i are the
coefficients on the lagged first differences.
·
?t
varepsilon_t?t is the error term.
·
p is the number of lagged
difference terms included to account for autocorrelation.
The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test results for
various variables are presented in (Table 3). The table shows the T-statistics
and P-values for each variable at both levels (with intercept and trend) and
first differences. The series lnGEN, and lnEDU are nonstationary at levels but
get stationary after first-order differencing. On the contrary, lnCO2 and lnREN
are stationary at levels and therefore does not require any differencing. It is very crucial to ensure stationarity by
appropriate differencing or using the variables in level form-as the case may
be-to get robust results from econometric modelling.
Cointegration
Test
In Table 4, we test for co-integration to check if a
long-standing steady affiliation exists between the arrangements, which Fisher
(1997, 2020) (Table 4). Based on the Fisher test result, at most, up to 3 are
critical since p-values in this table are lower than the ordinary significance
level of 0.05, which recommends solid proof of co-integration between the
factors included within the show. This conclusion can be drawn from the
discoveries displayed in this table. This appears to indicate that the variables
are related within the long term; a basic condition model that incorporates
these factors, as well as their standard fundamental variables, can be used to
speak to the relationship between them viably; subsequently. All of the
p-values in this table are lower than the ordinary significance level of 0.05,
which proposes solid proof of cointegration between the factors included within
the model. This conclusion can be drawn from the discoveries displayed in this
table. It appears that the variables are related within the long term. A
structural equation incorporating these factors and their standard fundamental
components can viably speak to their relationship.
The
Autoregression Distributed Lag (ARDL) model
The ARDL test can be used for variables that are
stationary (I(0)), non-stationary (I(1)), or a mix of the two. The ARDL model
has the capability to incorporate both exogenous and endogenous variables.
Although the ARDL model focuses on short-term relationships, the ECM is able to
analyze long-term relationships. In cases where all variables are cointegrated,
the VECM can be utilized to analyze the long-term relationship. Here is an
instance of the parametric equation employed in the ARDL model.
Where:
·
? denotes the first
difference of the variable
·
p,q,r,s are the optimal
lag lengths for the dependent and independent variables.
·
·
·
·
·
The table displays the findings of the employed ARDL
approach for long-run as well as short-run coefficients between the concerned
variables. In this case, the dependent variable is the logarithm of CO2
emission (lnCO2) since the theories outlined above suggest that. The
results of table 5 show that shows that increase in gender representation in
national parliaments leads to increase in CO2 emissions (Table 5).
Till now, some research publications (e. g., Erdem) reveal that increased
gender diversity is associated with better environmental policies and less
emission, which is contradictory to the report [24]. Such a difference might be
attributable to the difference in method used in the two studies, the time
frame in which the samples were taken or the geographical locations of the
samples. LEDU is found to be negative and significant in the long-run
indicating that increasing education expenditure decreases CO2
emissions in the long run. As identified in the prior section and corroborated
by Shahbaz, capital expenditure on education has a positive ripple effect on
Environmental Quality by reducing greenhouse gases emissions. This correlation
with the current study indicates a strong positive nature of education to
environmental results. This conclusion is in harmony with the negative and
highly significant coefficient of the variable LREN which confirms that the
higher usage of renewable resources, the bigger effect is in reducing of CO2
emission. Several papers (for example, Sadorsky, Apergis and Payne) have
substantiated these findings by underlining the role of renewable energy in
combating CO2 emissions [25]. This consistency of renewable energy
policies supports the current study as it underlines the efficiency of the
subjects under analysis. Consequently, the findings of the ARDL model
re-establish some profound long-run and short-run relationship between the
variables in the model. The results highlight how gender representation,
education spending, and renewable energy use impact CO2 emissions.
When contrasting these findings with those in other academic articles, there
are both similarities and differences, indicating possible topics for future
research. Policymakers must grasp these dynamics in order to create successful
plans for sustainable development and environmental preservation (Table 5).
After establishing the long-term co-integration
between InCO2 and InGEN, InREN, and InEDU, it becomes possible to
investigate the causal relationship among these variables. The Table's DH
causality findings indicate a mutual causal relationship between carbon
emission, gender, renewable energy, and education expenditure. Therefore,
gender causes carbon emission; there’s a neutral causal relationship between
gender and carbon emission. There’s a one-way or unidirectional relationship
moving from renewable energy to carbon emission, and carbon emission also cause
by renewable energy because it’s significant. There’s a neutral causal
relationship between Education expenditure and carbon emission. Education
expenditure does not cause renewable energy; therefore, it’s insignificant.
Carbon emission causes education expenditure; there’s a one-way or
unidirectional relationship moving from education expenditure to carbon
emission [26-36].
This study has explored the relationship between
gender, renewable energy, education expenditure, and CO2 emissions
in the economies of the BRICS nations. Using an advanced panel data model
encompassing the period from 1998 to 2020, we have successfully uncovered
profound insights of utmost importance for formulating sustainable policies and
promoting global environmental stewardship. The findings conclude that:
Long-run Relationships
Gender Representation (LGEN) and CO2
Emissions
Positive
Impact: The sign of the coefficient is positive,
this means that the higher the proportion of women in national parliaments, the
higher the CO2 emissions. The first potential source refers to the
greater level of representation of women which can be translated to higher
development or industrialization of countries and thus higher emission levels.
On the other hand, it could be the result of the overlapping of policies where
the positive effect of raising women’s quota is not directly felt through a
decrease in emissions.
· Policy
Implications: This indicates that although it is
effective to fight for gender equality or women’s rights, it should be complemented
by sound environmental activities that will lead to Green House Gas Emissions.
Education Expenditure (LEDU) and CO2
Emissions
· Negative
Impact: The negative demeanor of the coefficient
further reiterated the postulation that increased education expenditure
resulted to decreased CO2 emission. This can be easily understood as
the role of education which raises awareness about the environment and results
in the use of sustainable solutions and technologies. Education can also
encourage the use of green technologies in education and advocate for polices
that reduce emissions.
· Policy
Implications: The findings of the current study
seem to suggest that increasing spending on education is another sure way of
decreasing emission proving that there is need to support and fund education
especially environmental education.
Renewable Energy Consumption (LREN) and CO2
Emissions
· Strong
Negative Impact: The coefficient for renewable energy
consumption shown by negative value and its absolute value strikingly higher
than that of all other variables confirm the important part that it plays in
lessening the CO2 emissions. Promoting the use of renewable energy
decreases the dependency on fossil energy sources and has the exact positive
impact on emissions.
· Policy
Implications: Thus, the further development of
renewable energy programs and sponsorships in technologies that increase the
generation of renewable energy supplies.
Short-run Relationships
Gender Representation
(D(LGEN))
· Negative Impact:
Therefore, in the short run the gender representation affects the CO2
emissions in a negative way implying that immediate policy changes due to
increased female participation might actually be beneficial to the environment.
· Policy Implications:
Gender parity in the governance, structures and institutions can be used to
pass fast policy reforms on the environment within as short a time as possible
as the advantages that accrued from the adoption and implementation of gender
sensitive policies indicate.
Education
Expenditure (D(LEDU)) and Renewable Energy Consumption (D(LREN))
· Insignificant Impact: The
lagged variables for education expenditure, and renewable energy consumption’s
signs are insignificant in the short run, suggesting that their impact on CO2
emissions cannot be detected in the estimated lag order.
· Policy Implications: The
likely value of education, investments in renewable energy sources might not be
realized in the short-term, indicating the advantages of protracted long-term
polices.
Besides, academic debate, the contribution of this
research can influence policy, bring change to the existing social paradigms
and promote the development that is conscious and sustainable regarding the
ecological environment. When focusing on the parameters that should be compared
within the framework of the BRICS countries cooperation, it is important to
take into account such aspects as gender issues, renewable sources of energy,
expenditures on education, and emissions of greenhouse gases. Through the
analysis of these aspects, a rather broad picture of possible outcomes is provided,
as each factor contributes to creating a brighter future. Thus, the analysis
based on the panel dataset, which covers the years 1998-2020, has given
valuable practical information, revealing our course and pointing to a shared
dream towards the idea of sustainable development to become not only the
concept of existence but also existence itself.
Omitted Variable Bias
While conducting a comparative analysis of the countries’ CO2 emissions, the study fails to consider other factors that could likely affect the emissions and include political stability of a country, levels of economic development, and international trade among others. For instance, political stability affects the efficiency of policy implementation while the stage of economic development influences industrial doing and emission.
Data Limitations
Some of the challenges affecting the analysis are that the figures used come from the World Bank for the years 1998–2020 only; the quality of information uploaded to in the World Bank database may not be very high; it covers only a 23-year period that might not be sufficient to capture all the fluctuations. This means that the results got from the use of this model can be occasionally influenced by the quality of the data fed into it.
Model Specification
There is the question of
the certain lag lengths and the specifics of the construction of the ARDL
model. This was using a model that was slightly different than the one in the
class where different model specifications or adding more variables could lead
to other results.
Generalizability
BRICS countries are
selected for the purpose of the study and, therefore, the study may not be
applicable to the other countries with different so-cio-economic and political
development.
Causality
Therefore, although the
ARDL model can effectively determine long-run and short-run linkages, it cannot
assert causality. The variables and CO2 emission could be reciprocal where two
variables are equally affecting each other and this will cause reverse
causality.
The paper offers useful information on the connections
between gender consideration, education spending, and precious energy
consumption and carbon dioxide emissions. The results stated that a broad and
multiple approach to the issue should be implemented taking into account such
aspects as socio-demographic indicators. The future studies should limit this
by including more variables and covering other areas to increase the
credibility of the research findings. It becomes crucial to identify the big
picture and the processes in order to develop and implement proper approaches
to address the climate change and to build sustainability.
Further research may build on the current study and
investigate the subject by focusing on the effects of gender representation,
consumption of renewable energy, and pron Satoshi Nakamoto Characteristics of
Investing in Education: An International Analysis, money spent in some other
countries or territories, which do not come under the bracket of BRICS
countries. Such comparative analyses would help to obtain a more comprehensive
picture as to how these variables could be associated with CO2 emissions
different in socio-economic and political contexts. But it would be reasonable
to assume that extending the list of other conditions in relations to the given
environmental factors: political stability of the nations, their advance in
economy, involvement in foreign trade, etc., can give the best insights into
the complexity of the processes that govern environmental conditions. The
relations as can be seen in the following chapters, are dynamic, capturing
changes in the course of these relations could also help in estimating long run
diagnostics as well as efficiency of the various policies could be established.
Consequently, by increasing the range of the facilities of the research
approaches and deepening the analysis of the material, the further work is
capable of providing the impulse to the further development of more suitable practices
in contrast to the global tendencies towards sustainability.