Article Type : Opinion Article
Authors : Cusack PTE
Keywords : Human needs; Economic multiplier; Cusack hinterland factor; Settlements; Empires
In this paper, we consider how humans are
drawn together into larger and larger settlements until we go from /Tribes of
150 people to cities such as NYC. The familiar economic multiplier is the key
to understanding how communities grow. From this, we can see what forces draw
people together until eventually they are drawn apart leading to the collapse
of an empire.
We consider what sis the law of city building. What causes humans to come together to form
tribes, communities, and eventually cities?
The answer lies in human needs. We shall mention IX here, although the
reader may think of more. No more than IX are necessary to explain how cities
come to be formed such as London, New York, or Paris.
I shall list the IX human needs:
1. Food
(hunters; gathers; famers; divided labour)
2. Work
(Money; economy)
3. Shelter
(homes, work places; religious centres; schools etc.)
4. Sex
for the begetting of children (marriage)
5. Child
Rearing for continued survival of the species
6. Intellectual
stimulus which begets language and is enhanced by storytelling and education.
7. Religion
Life of the Soul (after life; hope)
8. Funeral
Rites (Burial)
9. Medicine
(health, death)
We have enough needs to put an equation to each of
these major divisions. Then we can solve
the equations to see what we get (Figure 1).
·
(1)(2) Economic
Equation Y=C+I+G+NX
·
(3) Shelter =Space PV/FV=Cusack Hinterland Factor=2? =E=Y s=|E|t| sin 60°
·
(4,5) Children /Population
growth Y=et
·
(6) Looking Back (history); Looking forward
(Education) Y=220
·
(7)(8) Soul S.E.=t²-t-1=0
· (9) Death Y=e-t
Y=220=t²-t-1=1.0485
t~1.618
Y=C+I+G
Y=C+(1-0.8415) +(14.28%)
Y=5.02-0.3018
C=4.7182
=2+e1
=2 + population growth =2+children=Father and mother
+children=Replacement rate +children
Y=e-t=e-1.618
=19829~2
(replacement rate)
Pop-Y=e
Ln (pop.-Y)=Ln (4.7182-0.504)=14.38%=1/0.695
~1/7
=Economic Multiplier
The economic multiplier is the rate at which tribes,
communities, and cities must increase to survive.
So, space s=|E||t| sin 60°
1.334=(2?)(t)0.866
t=0.246~0.250=Period T
1/t=E
1/0.250=40=FV
0.400 x 1/7=5714~1 rad=E=t
2?/4(.718-2)=Ln ?=tmax
Ln ?=23.1=Ln (pop-Y)
Pop-Y=?=23.1
23.1-PI=1995~ 2
Ln 2=3=c
We’ve seen why humans come together; Now let us turn our attention to Empires and why the come apart (Table 1) [1-2].
Empire |
Age |
Ln
|
Ln
(Ln) |
Egypt |
4000 |
8294 |
6.72 |
Romans |
2000 |
7600 |
6.63 |
Kings of France |
900 |
680 |
6.522 |
USA |
231=(1789-2020AD) |
544 |
6.299 |
Average |
1012~1000 |
|
6.54 |
e^-6.54=6922~7
1/7 is the economic multiplier, again
F attraction ? Market Value
F Repulsion ? 1/FV =1/2x²
MV=1/FV
MV=1/2,68
FV=1592=1/2?
MV=1/FV=2?= Cusack Hinterland Factor
F att=F rep
2.68=1/(2x²)
2(2.68)x²=1
x=432
=1/2.315
=1/t
=E
t=231(1789 -2020 AD )
We see that there is indeed a system of equations that
explain growth of communities.
1. Beinart
J. Lectures theory of city form. Open Courseware, MIT. 2013.
2. Cusack
PTE. Teleological Universe (submitted).