Article Type : Research Article
Authors : Alam Omi N
Keywords : Oppositional negation; Sakib constant; Political speeches; Corporate communication; Text-as-data; Normalized PMI; Out-group targeting
This
manuscript develops an implementation blueprint for the S M Nazmuz Sakib Oppo-
sitional Negation Coupling Principle and its associated Sakib Negation–Outgroup
Coupling Number, a constant designed to quantify how strongly grammatical
negation in political or economic texts is statistically coupled to explicit
references to social out-groups relative to in-groups. Building on Sakib’s
original conceptual work, we formalize the measure, explain how to estimate it
from real-world corpora using modern annotation pipelines, and outline
applications to world political speeches and corporate earnings call
transcripts. Synthetic but structurally realistic examples illustrate how the
Sakib constant behaves across cor-pora, parties, time, languages, and speakers,
and how it relates to sentiment, group-mention density, and naive out-group
negation ratios. We conclude with a discussion of empirical deployment on large
multilingual corpora and financial communication datasets.
Negation
plays a central role in political and economic communication. Political leaders
use “not”, “never”, and related constructions to deny accusations, negate
opponents’ proposals, and shape public perceptions of responsibility and risk.
Corporate executives use negation to manage expectations, distance the firm
from adverse events, and frame uncertainty in earnings calls and investor
briefings. At the same time, pronouns and group labels (e.g., “we”, “they”,
“our people”, “immigrants”, “shareholders”) are crucial devices for drawing
boundaries between in-groups and out-groups, allies and adversaries, insiders
and outsiders. S M Nazmuz Sakib’s Oppositional Negation Coupling Principle
proposes a quantitative way to summarize how systematically a political or
economic actor directs grammatical negation toward out-groups rather than
in-groups. The associated Sakib Negation–Outgroup Coupling Number, or Sakib
constant for an actor, is built from normalized pointwise mutual information
(NPMI) between negation events and group mentions, computed on syntactically
annotated corpora of speeches [1].
Sakib’s original manuscript is intentionally conceptual: it defines the measure and illustrates its behavior with synthetic data consistent with large political speech corpora, leaving empirical deployment to real multilingual corpora as future work. The present paper is a step toward that empirical deployment. Our goals are:
Throughout, we focus on two broad application domains:
Events
and probabilities
Let
C be a corpus of political or economic text that has been sentence-segmented,
tokenized, and syntactically annotated according to the Universal Dependencies
framework. Let T denote the total number of syntactic heads (or tokens)
considered.
Following Sakib, we define three binary events on the set of heads:
Neg:
the event that a predicate (verb, adjective, or nominal) bears a neg dependent
or otherwise carries negative polarity;
Out: the event that a token (or span)
is part of an explicit out-group mention (e.g., they, them, immigrants,
opposition, competitors), detected via supervised models and lexicons;
In: the event that a token (or span) is part of an in-group mention (e.g., we, our people, our citizens, our company, our shareholders).
Counts
of these events and their co-occurrences are converted into probabilities by
dividing by T :
p(Neg)
= NNeg , p(Out) = NOut , p(In) = NIn ,
T T T
p(Neg,
Out) = NNeg,Out , p(Neg,
In) = NNeg,In ,
where NNeg is the number of heads marked as negated, NOut the number belonging to out- group mentions, and so on. In practice, T can count contexts such as predicates, clauses, or sentence-level positions rather than primitive tokens.
Normalized
PMI for negation and group mentions
To
quantify association between negation and group mentions, Sakib adopts
normalized point- wise mutual information. For any pair of events X and Y with
p(X, Y ) > 0,
NPMI(X,
Y ) =log p(X, Y )
p(X)p(Y ) (1)
— log p(X, Y )
This
standard normalization yields a bounded measure in [?1, 1]: ?1 corresponds to
perfect avoidance (events never co-occur), 0 to statistical independence, and 1
to maximal positive association given the marginals.
Sakib
defines
NPMIOut
= NPMI(Neg, Out), NPMIIn
= NPMI(Neg, In),
with
suitable smoothing (e.g., add-one or add-?) in cases where counts are extremely
small.
The Sakib negation–outgroup
coupling number
The
core quantity is then defined as follows.
Definition
(Sakib Negation–Outgroup Coupling Number). For a corpus C, the Sakib
Negation–Outgroup Coupling Number, or Sakib number S(C), is
S(C) = NPMIOut ? NPMIIn.
(2)
By
construction,
S(C)
? [?2, 2].
A
value S(C) > 0 indicates that negation is more strongly associated with
out-group mentions than with in-group mentions, after controlling for base
rates via NPMI. Conversely, S(C) < 0 captures a pattern in which negation is
disproportionately linked to the in-group (e.g., negating self-criticism or
denying failures), while values close to zero indicate rough balance.
At
the speech level, we write S(s) for the Sakib number of a single speech s. For
an actor a (e.g., a party, leader, or CEO) with a sequence of speeches (s1,
. . . , sn), the Sakib constant is defined as a stable average of
S(si):
or,
in practice, the empirical mean over the available speeches. This constant then
summarizes that actor’s long-run pattern of oppositional negation.
Candidate
corpora
Sakib’s original design explicitly mentions large-scale corpora of political speeches as targets for empirical deployment. In a practical implementation, one might combine:
For
each domain, the same basic pipeline applies; only the group-mention lexicons
and supervised models need to adapt to domain-specific groups (e.g., customers,
regulators, and investors in corporate texts).
Pre-processing
and annotation
A standard Sakib-constant estimation pipeline consists of the following steps:
Extension
to business and economic texts
In
economic and business communication, the same framework can quantify how
negation tar- gets different stakeholder groups. Here, in-group mentions might
include we, our company, our team, our shareholders, while out-group mentions
could include competitors, regulators, sup- pliers, short sellers, or named
rival firms. The Sakib constant then summarizes, for example, whether a firm’s
negative statements are more often directed outward (criticizing markets or
regulators) or inward (acknowledging internal failures).
The
figures in this section use synthetic but structurally realistic data to
illustrate the behavior of the Sakib number and Sakib constants. In empirical
work, each figure would be replaced by estimates obtained from actual corpora
following the pipeline above [2-7].
Global
negation rates and Sakib numbers across corpora
Figure
1 shows hypothetical negation rates (per 1,000 tokens) across four stylized
political corpora: UN General Assembly speeches (UNGA), EuroParl debates, US
congressional speeches, and campaign rally transcripts. Figure 2 presents
corresponding Sakib numbers S(C) for the same corpora. Higher values indicate
stronger coupling of negation with out-group mentions relative to in-group
mentions (Figure 1,2).
Temporal
dynamics of the Sakib number
In
electoral politics, the Sakib number may change over time as parties adjust
their strategies. (Figure 3) depicts a synthetic time series of S(Ct) for a
hypothetical country across seven election years.
Sakib
numbers, sentiment negativity, and group mentions
The
Sakib number is not a simple proxy for overall sentiment. (Figure 4) shows a
synthetic scatter plot of S(C) against average sentiment negativity for several
parties. Actors with similar negative sentiment can differ substantially in how
they distribute negation across in-groups and out-groups. (Figure 5) shows a
synthetic relationship between group-mention density (mentions per 1,000
tokens) and Sakib numbers for individual speeches.
Cross-linguistic
and null-model comparisons
Figure
6 presents synthetic Sakib numbers across seven languages in a stylized
Europarl-style corpus.
To
assess statistical significance, Sakib suggests comparing observed Sakib
numbers to a null distribution obtained by randomly shuffling in-group and
out-group labels while holding other structure fixed. Figure 7 shows a
synthetic null distribution and a hypothetical observed value (Figure 6,7).
Comparison
to a naive out-group negation ratio
The
Sakib number generalizes simple ratios of out-group to in-group negation by
incorporating base-rate normalization through NPMI. (Figure 8) plots a
synthetic relationship between S(C) and a naive out-group negation ratio.
Distributions
of speech-level and speaker-level Sakib numbers
Figure
9 shows a synthetic histogram of speech-level Sakib numbers S(s) in a
hypothetical parliament. Figure 10 then summarizes synthetic speaker-level
Sakib constants for five politicians (Figures 9,10).
Synthetic
illustration for corporate earnings calls
Finally,
(Figure 11) illustrates how the Sakib constant could be used to compare sectors
in corporate earnings calls. In this stylized example, we display Sakib numbers
for four sectors: technology, finance, energy, and consumer goods.
Conceptual
Diagrams for Deployment
In
addition to quantitative illustrations, it is useful to visualize the
conceptual pipeline from raw text to Sakib constants and the deployment of
those constants in monitoring systems.
Corpus-to-constant
pipeline
Figure
12 sketches an end-to-end pipeline from raw corpora to Sakib constants (Figure
12).
Political
versus corporate applications
Figure
13 highlights how the same framework can be specialized to political and
corporate domains by choosing appropriate group-mention inventories (Figure
13).
Monitoring
architecture
Finally,
Figure 14 shows a schematic architecture for real-time monitoring of Sakib
constants (Figure 14).
The S M Nazmuz Sakib Oppositional Negation Coupling Principle and its associated Sakib Negation–Outgroup Coupling Number provide a compact, interpretable summary of how much an actor’s negation is directed toward out-groups rather than in-groups, after accounting for base rates and corpus size. In this manuscript, we have:
Future
work should deploy this framework on large multilingual corpora of political
speeches, corporate earnings calls, and central bank communications,
systematically assessing robustness to parser and classifier errors,
cross-linguistic variation in negation systems, and alternative definitions of
in-groups and out-groups. Once implemented at scale, Sakib constants could
become useful indicators for researchers and practitioners interested in
political polarization, corporate blame shifting, and the framing of economic
risk.