Article Type : Research Article
Authors : Berisha A
Keywords : Public expenditures; Budget; Salaries; Gross domestic product (GDP)
The
paper deals with issues related to the budget, including public spending and
salaries in the Republic of Kosovo. The importance of the paper consists in
addressing issues related to public spending and salaries in the Republic of
Kosovo. The budget represents the main instrument of public financing. Within
the framework of government policies, the issue of government spending is
considered quite important. The purpose of the study is to analyze the
performance of the structure of public spending, as well as salaries for recent
years. In order to maintain fiscal stability, attention should be paid to how
much spending burdens the budget and where their expenses are directed. In this
regard, the manner of spending budget funds and the orientation of government
spending for productive purposes and investment projects remains important.
Methodology: For the finalization of this paper, the presented material has the
following support: domestic and foreign literature, as well as reports and
publications from the Ministry of Finance, which deals with issues of public
spending, including salaries in the Republic of Kosovo. Likewise, local
statistical sources, analysis and synthesis methods, separate tabular and
graphical methods, comparative methods, etc. were used. Results: Special
attention is paid to the comparison of public expenditures and salaries in
Kosovo over the years. Through this study, we aim that the conclusions and
recommendations given are taken into consideration and serve the actors in the
field of public finance.
When
talking about public spending and wages, we must bear in mind that their
volume, structure and use are not the same in all countries. Public spending
varies depending on the economic and financial situation of each country.
Within the framework of government policies, the issue of government spending
is considered quite important. In this paper, the main objectives consist of:
·
Analysis of the progress and structure of
public spending and wage levels in Kosovo in recent years.
·
To analyze wages in Kosovo in recent
years.
Until
recent years, fiscal policy as an integral part of economic policy was not
sufficiently in function of stimulating the private sector, but mainly oriented
towards filling the budget coffers.
The
research questions of this study include:
Q1:
How much does public spending affect the economy?
Q2:
What is the participation of public spending and wages in GDP (Gross Domestic
Product)? The study is structured as follows. Section 1 presents the
introduction, including the main purpose of the paper, research questions. In
Section 2, the literature review is presented. Section 3 demonstrates the
methodology and methods. Section 4 of the paper provides the result and
discussion, as well as the correlation between public spending and gross
domestic product (GDP). Section 5 concludes the study.
To
achieve the objectives within this study, the analysis method and the
comparative method are mainly used, examining in dynamics the issue related to
the performance of public expenditures and salaries in the Republic of Kosovo.
To finalize this paper, the presented material has the following support: (a)
Domestic and foreign literature, as well as reports and publications from the
Ministry of Finance, which address issues of public expenditures in the
Republic of Kosovo. (b) Domestic statistical sources were used, the method of
analysis and synthesis, tabular and graphical separately, comparative methods,
etc.
The
state, through the public revenues it collects, performs its public function
and covers public expenses. There are differences in the financial activity of
the public sector and the private sector. The financial activity of the state
(public sector), which is entrusted with meeting public needs, differs
fundamentally from the financial activity of private individuals and legal
entities (private sector). Unlike companies in the private sector whose main
objective is to maximize profit, organizations such as government departments,
municipal authorities and public companies in the public sector are not
primarily profit-oriented. Their financial objectives are mainly secondary
compared to their social objectives, which can range from providing housing or education
to collecting taxes. There are different views on measuring the size of the
public sector. There are two main ways to measure it [1].
1. The
share of expenditures as a percentage of GDP devoted to the public sector.
2. The
number of people (their percentage) in the total labor force.
The
first way includes the share of public expenditures in relation to Gross
Domestic Product-GDP and the other way includes the number of employees in the
public sector. Measuring the size of the government by the volume of its annual
expenditures, where three basic types are distinguished [2]:
1. Purchase
of goods and services. The government purchases a wide variety of items,
everything from missiles to forest security services from rangers.
2. Transfers
of income to people, businesses, or other governments. The government takes
income from some individuals or organizations and gives it to others. Examples
are welfare programs, such as food stamps and subsidies given to farmers for
the production (or non-production) of certain goods.
3. Interest
payments. The government often borrows to finance its activities, and like any
borrower, must pay interest for this privilege.
The
financing of the public sector and the provision of public services is
conditioned by the level of development of the economic sector of the
respective country, on which the level of provision of financial means for
financing public needs depends. Therefore, the financing of the public sector
also depends on the economic sector or economic indicators [3]. From this we
can say that the level of financing of the public sector is determined by the
level of development of the economic sector.
After
the war, Kosovo began to build public institutions with the support of
international institutions and at the same time the fiscal system for financing
public needs. Kosovo, with a low level of development, initially and
continuously oriented fiscal policy instruments towards filling the state
budget for financing public needs, thus maintaining the fiscal character of
fiscal policy. Since, for the realization of state functions that must provide
services to meet public needs, financial resources are needed. The bearers of
financial activity are financial bodies (tax authorities, Ministry of Finance),
which have legal powers to provide financial resources for financing public
expenditures. The second method includes the number of population (their percentage)
in the total labor force. The following table reflects the number of employees
and the average salary in the public sector in Kosovo (Table 1) (Figure 1,2).
In Kosovo, in the public sector, in terms of the number of employees and the
category of salaries and allowances during the period 2022-2024, there has been
an increase in both the number of employees and the category of salaries and
allowances. From the table and graph, it can be seen that, in 2022, there were
82,148 employees in the public sector, reaching 84,679 employees in 2024.
Meanwhile, the category of salaries and allowances in 2022 was 653.4 million
euros, reaching 805.4 million euros in 2024 (Table 2) (Figure 3).
The
table and graphs above reflect the wage level in Kosovo in the period
2022-2024. The wage level in Kosovo, including by sectors: The public sector,
public enterprises and the private sector, has had an increasing trend in the
period 2022-2024. Average gross wages by sectors: The highest wage level in
Kosovo was in public enterprises. In 2024, in public enterprises, the average
gross wage per employee was 783 Euros. The public sector, in 2024, had an
average gross wage per employee of 755 Euros. While, the private sector was the
sector with the lowest average gross wage per employee with 598 Euros.
Regarding the wage level in Kosovo in 2022, the average gross monthly wage was
521 Euros (446 Euros average monthly net wage), increasing the average gross monthly
wage to 639 Euros in 2024 (552 Euros average monthly net wage). The average
gross monthly salary for an employee in Kosovo during 2024 was 639 Euros,
increasing by 12.1% compared to 2023.
Regarding the legal functioning of public finances and the budget system, it was initially based on Regulation No. 2000/17, while in May 2003, the Assembly of Kosovo adopted Law No. 2003/2, On Public Finance Management and Accountability. While, in the further development of public finances, it is worth noting that after the declaration of Kosovo’s Independence in 2008, the Assembly of Kosovo adopted Law No. 03/L-048, On Public Finance Management and Accountability.
Figure 1: Salaries and allowances in the public sector in the period 2022-2024 - million euros.
Figure 2: Number of wage earners
in the public sector in the period 2022-2024.
Figure 3: Average wage level by sectors (in Euros), in the period 2022-2024.
In
the Republic of Kosovo, public finances currently function based on the
Constitution and the Law on Public Finance Management and Accountability, as
well as other legal acts. Article 120 of the Constitution of the Republic of
Kosovo, in the chapter on public finances, describes the following
competencies:
1. Public
expenditures and the collection of public revenues must be based on the
principles of accountability, effectiveness, efficiency and transparency.
2. The
administration of fiscal policy at all levels of government will be in
accordance with the conditions for low inflation and sustainable economic
development and job creation.
3. Public borrowing is regulated by law and must be in accordance with economic stability and fiscal sustainability.
Figure 4: Structure of public expenditure in the Republic of Kosovo.
Figure 5: Public spending in the category of salaries and allowances for the period 2023-2025.
Figure 6: Public expenditure ratio in BPV.
In
addition, Article 65 of the Constitution of the Republic of Kosovo, among other
things, gives the Assembly of Kosovo the competence to approve the state
budget. Public expenditures are monetary funds, financial funds, which serve to
finance state needs. The science of finance offers three main answers about
public expenditures [4]:
a. How much are state expenditures;
b. How
to meet them in the best and most sufficient way; and
c. To what limit can public expenditures be
reached without hindering the state economy and its development.
Public
expenditure represents the expenditure of financial resources to meet public
needs that are created by the collection of public revenues. Public expenditure
is closely related to public revenues and depends on them, since public
revenues are the source of financing public services. Expenditures incurred by
the state to fulfill its objectives and functions are also known as public
expenditures [5].
Table 1: Number of employees and salaries and allowances in the public sector in Kosovo, in the period 2022-2024.
|
Description |
2022 |
2023 |
2024 |
|
Salaries and allowances |
653.4 |
767.3 |
805.4 |
|
Number of wage earners in the public sector |
82,148 |
83,604 |
84,679 |
|
Source:
Ministry of Finance, Labor and Transfers, Annual Financial Report for 2024,
Prishtina, 2025, pp. 89-90. Law No. 08/L-332 on Budget Allocations for the
Budget of the Republic of Kosovo for 2025, pp. 20. |
|||
Table 2: Average salary level in Kosovo in the period 2022-2024-in euros.
|
|
Kosovo |
Public Sector |
Public Enterprises |
Private Sector |
||||
|
gross |
net |
gross |
net |
gross |
net |
gross |
net |
|
|
2022 |
521 |
446 |
604 |
536 |
789 |
659 |
473 |
401 |
|
2023 |
570 |
506 |
713 |
630 |
789 |
691 |
515 |
459 |
|
2024 |
639 |
552 |
755 |
668 |
783 |
685 |
598 |
513 |
|
Source:
Kosovo Agency of Statistics, Series 5: Social Statistics, Wage Level in
Kosovo 2024, Pristina, 2025, p. 9. |
||||||||
Table 3: Structure of public expenditure in the Republic of Kosovo.
|
Description |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
|
Total
Budget Expenditures |
2,876.6 |
3,123.9 |
3,611.1 |
|
Current
Expenditures |
2,273.5 |
2,413.9 |
2,893.9 |
|
Wages
and salaries |
767.3 |
843.03 |
916.9 |
|
Goods
and services |
426.8 |
458.45 |
537.0 |
|
Subsidies
and transfers |
1,079.4 |
1,112.49 |
1,156.7 |
|
Current
reserve |
0.0 |
0.0 |
4.1 |
|
Capital
expenditures |
560.9 |
647.01 |
931.3 |
|
Source: Law
No. 10/L-001, On Budget Allocations for the Budget of the Republic of Kosovo
for 2026, p. 29. |
|||
Table 4: Public expenditure in the category of wages and salaries and allowances for the period 2023-2025, in million euros.
|
Description |
2023 |
2024 |
2025 |
|
Budget
Expenditures |
2,876.6 |
3,123.9 |
3,611.1 |
|
Current
Expenditures |
2,273.5 |
2,413.9 |
2,893.9 |
|
Wages
and salaries |
767.3 |
843.03 |
916.9 |
|
Source: Law
No. 10/L-001, On Budget Allocations for the Budget of the Republic of Kosovo
for 2026, p. 29. |
|||
Table 5: Share of public spending and wages in the GDP.
|
Years |
GDP |
Public expenditures |
Public
Expenditure Report/GDP (%) |
Wages and allowances |
Wages
and allowances Report/ Public expenditures (%) |
Wages
and allowances Report/GDP
(%) |
|
2023 |
9,680.1 |
2,876.6 |
29.7% |
767.3 |
26.67% |
7.92% |
|
2024 |
10,350.4 |
3,123.9 |
30.1% |
843.03 |
26.98% |
8.14% |
|
2025 |
11,156.2 |
3,611.1 |
32.3% |
916.9 |
25.39% |
8.21% |
|
Source: Law No. 10/L-001, On budget
allocations for the Budget of the Republic of Kosovo for the year 2026, pg,
29-30. |
||||||
Table 6: Data are expressed in EUR millions over the period 2022– 2024.
|
Years |
Public expenditures X1 |
GDP Y1 |
X1-X |
(X1-X)2 |
Y1-? |
(Y-?)2 |
(X1-X)*(Y1-?) |
|
2022 |
2,539.6 |
8,895.7 |
-468.3 |
219,304.89 |
-990.8 |
981,684.64 |
463,991.64 |
|
2023 |
2,876.6 |
9,680.1 |
-131.3 |
17,239.69 |
-206.4 |
42,600.96 |
27,100.32 |
|
2024 |
3,607.5 |
11,083.6 |
599.6 |
359,520.16 |
1,197.1 |
1,433,048.41 |
717,781.16 |
|
Total |
3,007.9 |
9,886.5 |
0.00 |
596,064.74 |
-0.01 |
2,457,334.01 |
1,208,873.12 |
In
the framework of government policies, the issue of government expenditure is
considered a very important issue. In order to maintain fiscal sustainability,
attention should be paid to how much expenditure burdens the budget and where
their expenditure is directed. In this regard, the manner of spending budgetary
resources and the orientation of government expenditure for productive purposes
remains particularly important (Table 3) (Figure 4). Total public expenditure
from 2.8 billion euros in 2023 has increased to 3.6 billion in 2025. Public
expenditure as part of the state finance system serves to finance, respectively
meet state needs. Wages and salaries are economic categories that consist of
payments in cash, but not in goods. In public expenditure, the category of
wages and salaries constitutes the most important part of current budget
expenditure (Table 4) (Figure 5).
The
table and graph reflect the progress of budget spending including current
expenditures and salaries and allowances in the period 2023-2025. Regarding
salaries and allowances, an increasing trend is observed, where in 2023
salaries and allowances were 767.3 million euros, increasing in 2025 the
category of salaries and allowances to 916.9 million euros. The following table
shows the share of public spending and wages in the Gross Domestic Product-GDP
in Kosovo (Table 5) (Figure 6). The financing of the public sector and the
provision of public services is conditioned by the level of development of the
economic sector of the respective country, which depends on the level of
provision of financial means for financing public needs.
Public
expenditures are a key issue in economic discussions and at the same time an
extremely intensive area of research. Correlational analyzes were used in this
article to measure the strength of the relationship between the independent
variable public expenditures (X) and the GDP dependent variable (Y). The result
of the correlational study is obtained by the correlation coefficient. The
correlation coefficient values are between - 1 and + 1. Its + 1 value indicates
that both variables are in complete linear relation and in the same direction
which means that all points lie in a straight line with coefficient positive
angle. Whereas the value - 1 of the correlation coefficient indicates that the
variables are in complete linear relation and in the opposite direction. For
correlation analyzes, it has been argued that the correlation coefficient is a
summary measure describing the degree of the statistical relationship between
two variables; the dependent variables and the independent variables (Leroux, 2009).
Indicators of the Correlation Analysis of Public expenditures and GDP are
presented by the Correlation Coefficient (r), the Determination Coefficient (????????)
and Alliance/the Contingency Coefficient (ka). On the basis of correlational
analyzes we analyze the impact of public expenditures on GDP. For Public
expenditures and GDP, the correlation analysis covers the period from 2022 to
2024 [6] (Table 6).
Covariance-
The covariance of choice is defined as fol
Correlation coefficient
The
correlation coefficient is r = 0.82 From this we see that we have a positive
average correlation, and that there is a positive average correlation between
public expenditures and GDP.
Determination
coefficient:
????????
= (0.82)2 = 0.67 From here it results that 67.00% of the public
expenditures variation is explained by the variation of GDP.
Alliance
coefficient:
Ka=1-???????? =
1 - 0.67 = 0.33 It results that 33.00% are other unexplained factors affecting
public expenditures.
The
budget is a state financial document, which reflects budget revenues according
to financial sources, on the one hand, and budget expenditures, according to
bearers and destination of expenditures, on the other hand. The level of public
expenditures is closely related to public revenues. This means that the state
receives public money for collective purposes and to meet public needs [7-17].
The
results of the analysis show that public spending remains one of the important
factors for the economy as a whole.
In
the framework of the work related to public expenditures in the Republic of
Kosovo, we present some of the conclusions and recommendations as follows:
Public
spending in Kosovo continues to grow, with current spending showing a greater
increase compared to capital spending.